YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$4.4K
343 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 80 traders · 1 on both sides
How strong will Simon be?
5 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs22 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$1.2K+51 new NO$1.6K
$834 of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$79 of $405 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $73·NO $253YES Team
Total Invested
$145
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$51(-35.4%)
Whales
8
B
Blue-Horseshoe🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·250 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$113
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $113 · WR 72.1%
H
Hasty-Worker🥈hedged
Entry 29¢·46.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 59.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥉
Entry 24¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 59.8%
P
Pricey-Millionhedged
Entry 30¢·15.1 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 4 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$647
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+29.5%)
Whales
22
M
mr.fig🥇
Entry 73¢·220 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $160 · WR 60.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 41¢·200 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $83 · WR 79.5%
1
1walrus🥉
Entry 83¢·70.2 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $58 · WR 65.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 52¢·107 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $55 · WR 85.9%
B
Blue-Horseshoehedged
Entry 78¢·50.6 shares·also $113 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $40 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $35 · WR 69.1%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 41¢·83 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $34 · WR 59.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 49¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $30 · WR 72.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 51¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $26 · WR 88.2%
K
kitty07
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 22
Smart Whale Trades
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