YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.6K
115 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 54 traders
Gemini Argon released on...?
21 MARKETS · $44.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026←
2¢+13¢$1.6K2/11Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026←+13¢2¢
$1.6K2/11
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026
70¢−45¢$8.3K4/12Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026−45¢70¢
$8.3K4/12
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026
5¢−5¢$1.9K0/7Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026−5¢5¢
$1.9K0/7
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026
3¢+22¢$1.3K3/9Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026+22¢3¢
$1.3K3/9
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026
3¢+12¢$1.3K2/11Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026+12¢3¢
$1.3K2/11
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 17, 2026
1¢+24¢$5172/6Will Gemini Argon be released on October 17, 2026+24¢1¢
$5172/6
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 18, 2026
0¢0¢$9310/9Will Gemini Argon be released on October 18, 20260¢0¢
$9310/9
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 19, 2026
1¢+10¢$7231/8Will Gemini Argon be released on October 19, 2026+10¢1¢
$7231/8
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 20, 2026
2¢+16¢$1.3K2/9Will Gemini Argon be released on October 20, 2026+16¢2¢
$1.3K2/9
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 21, 2026
1¢+49¢$1.1K5/5Will Gemini Argon be released on October 21, 2026+49¢1¢
$1.1K5/5
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 22, 2026
0¢+22¢$7562/7Will Gemini Argon be released on October 22, 2026+22¢0¢
$7562/7
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 23, 2026
0¢+14¢$1.3K1/6Will Gemini Argon be released on October 23, 2026+14¢0¢
$1.3K1/6
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 24, 2026
0¢+11¢$6861/8Will Gemini Argon be released on October 24, 2026+11¢0¢
$6861/8
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 25, 2026
2¢+9¢$6331/8Will Gemini Argon be released on October 25, 2026+9¢2¢
$6331/8
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 26, 2026
2¢+8¢$6671/9Will Gemini Argon be released on October 26, 2026+8¢2¢
$6671/9
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026
1¢+20¢$4.8K3/11Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026+20¢1¢
$4.8K3/11
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 28, 2026
2¢+11¢$6041/7Will Gemini Argon be released on October 28, 2026+11¢2¢
$6041/7
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026
2¢+11¢$1.9K1/7Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026+11¢2¢
$1.9K1/7
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026
3¢+4¢$3.3K1/14Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026+4¢3¢
$3.3K1/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs18 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$48+16 new NO$681
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $468 is directional: YES $39·NO $429YES Team
Total Invested
$43
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-51.7%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 4¢·485.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $22 · WR 72.2%
R
real-hero-himmel🥈
Entry 8¢·118.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 77.7%
G
gambler925🥉
Entry 12¢·71.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 56.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 11¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 69.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$760
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$317(+41.7%)
Whales
18
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·342.6 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $316 · WR 56.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·264 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $132 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·167.8 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $84 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 96¢·35 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 66.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 99¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 59.6%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 94¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 59.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·46 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 87.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·36.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $18 · WR 59.6%
W
Wretched-Cartel-Dulcimer
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 100.0%
P
Pesky-Galoshes-Proportion
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 86.7%
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