YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$1.4K
115 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 51 traders · 3 on both sides
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 9?
11 MARKETS · $5.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on October 9
1¢−1¢$3190/1Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on October 9−1¢1¢
$3190/1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$1820/2Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$1820/2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$2610/4Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$2610/4
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 9
4¢−4¢$1910/1Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 9−4¢4¢
$1910/1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 9←
30¢+20¢$1.4K3/3Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 9←+20¢30¢
$1.4K3/3
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9
40¢−15¢$4711/3Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9−15¢40¢
$4711/3
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 9
22¢+28¢$7695/5Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 9+28¢22¢
$7695/5
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 9
4¢−4¢$4210/4Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 9−4¢4¢
$4210/4
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$2890/4Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$2890/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$401+37 new NO$911
$335 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$162 of $402 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $32·NO $208YES Team
Total Invested
$113
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+10.1%)
Whales
4
5
0x5356afa0...🥇hedged
Entry 29¢·279.5 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $80 · WR 71.4%
N
narulol🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·73.1 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 58.5%
2
241532532432🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·27 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 59.7%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 24¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 77.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$360
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-2.0%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 69¢·108 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $75 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 69¢·85 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 88.2%
5
0x5356afa0...🥉hedged
Entry 71¢·70.4 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 71.4%
N
neverhackme
Entry 71¢·70 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 75.9%
N
narulolhedged
Entry 72¢·63.5 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $46 · WR 58.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $22 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 68¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $20 · WR 72.2%
2
241532532432hedged
Entry 73¢·20 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 59.7%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 80¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 83.5%
W
wwwoooeee
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 59.3%
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