21 days left

Will Arkansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$266

44 trades

Smart Whales

3

of 19 traders

Closest Governor's Race?

36 MARKETS · $22.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

2¢+18¢$3531/4

4¢+16¢$1.6K1/4

1¢+32¢$2601/2

New Mexico+32¢1¢

0¢+75¢$1573/1

Arizona+75¢0¢

12¢+13¢$1.4K1/3

Colorado+60¢0¢

6¢+27¢$7901/2

0¢+50¢$2112/2

Minnesota+50¢0¢

5¢+15¢$9541/4

Wisconsin+15¢5¢

2¢+31¢$2741/2

Michigan+31¢2¢

5¢+52¢$2.1K4/3

0¢+33¢$2962/4

0¢+67¢$2182/1

3¢+22¢$2851/3

New Hampshire+22¢3¢

8¢+12¢$1.3K2/8

Florida+12¢8¢

22¢−5¢$3.0K1/5

Georgia−5¢22¢

10¢+1¢$1.0K1/8

Vermont+1¢10¢

11¢+3¢$4.4K1/6

Alabama+99¢1¢

5¢+28¢$2661/2

Arkansas←+28¢5¢

0¢+33¢$2382/4

California+33¢0¢

Connecticut+99¢1¢

0¢+67¢$2362/1

3¢+47¢$2312/2

0¢+33¢$2561/2

Illinois+33¢0¢

1¢+74¢$1623/1

Maryland+74¢1¢

0¢+67¢$2332/1

Massachusetts+67¢0¢

2¢+23¢$2521/3

Nebraska+23¢2¢

New York+75¢0¢

5¢+20¢$3361/3

Oklahoma+20¢5¢

0¢+33¢$2521/2

Pennsylvania+33¢0¢

0¢+50¢$2512/2

Rhode Island+50¢0¢

1¢+49¢$2462/2

South Carolina+49¢1¢

1¢+39¢$2182/3

South Dakota+39¢1¢

7¢+26¢$3911/2

Tennessee+26¢7¢

0¢+40¢$2322/3

Wyoming+40¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

72.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+174.5%)

Whales

1

Maximus374Proven🥇

Entry 2¢·25 shares

+$1INV $0 · WR 72.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$50

Avg Win Rate

85.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$46(+91.0%)

Whales

2

qwen4.1.fund🥇

Entry 50¢·88 shares

+$40INV $44 · WR 85.9%

Entry 50¢·12 shares

+$5INV $6 · WR 83.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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