Tech/AI9 days left
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?
YES Price
90¢
90% implied
NO Price
10¢
10% implied
Volume
$2.7K
186 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 68 traders
Best AI model on October 19?
4 MARKETS · $4.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026
12¢+21¢$1.1K3/6Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026+21¢12¢
$1.1K3/6
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 19, 2026
1¢−1¢$5060/7Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 19, 2026−1¢1¢
$5060/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs6 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$456+13 new NO$85
$46 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $885 is directional: YES $882·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$882
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$197(+22.3%)
Whales
11
R
rando12345🥇
Entry 69¢·389.6 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $270 · WR 67.0%
S
sand1🥈
Entry 78¢·236.5 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $184 · WR 78.0%
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven🥉
Entry 84¢·186 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $157 · WR 69.4%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 65¢·140 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $92 · WR 79.3%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 84¢·72.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $61 · WR 55.9%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 87¢·57 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $50 · WR 81.2%
P
parameter1
Entry 63¢·44.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $28 · WR 61.7%
D
davhcc
Entry 88¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 93.5%
5
0x582506c2...
Entry 89¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 62.5%
A
agentcal
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-68.0%)
Whales
6
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 52¢·40 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $21 · WR 57.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $13 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 12¢·40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 72.2%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 24¢·15 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 61.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 23¢·15 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 88.7%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 22¢·15 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 61.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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