YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$4.1K
208 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 66 traders · 1 on both sides
How strong will Koguma be?
4 MARKETS · $21.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon
1¢+28¢$10.7K6/15Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon+28¢1¢
$10.7K6/15
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon
96¢−64¢$6.6K8/17Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon−64¢96¢
$6.6K8/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$297+32 new NO$1.6K
$337 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$15 of $225 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $71·NO $139YES Team
Total Invested
$88
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-80.8%)
Whales
4
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 22¢·312.2 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $70 · WR 64.9%
A
allofit🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·20 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 69.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥉hedged
Entry 11¢·66.9 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 85.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 6¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$405
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$185(+45.8%)
Whales
11
B
Blue-Horseshoe◆Proven🥇
Entry 91¢·135 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $123 · WR 72.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥈
Entry 50¢·121.5 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $61 · WR 59.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 84¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $50 · WR 72.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·78.9 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $39 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 86.2%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·33.1 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $17 · WR 59.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 93¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 59.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 94¢·8.4 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 85.8%
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