YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$25.7K
550 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 129 traders · 5 on both sides
Palermo: Federico Arnaboldi vs Andrea de Marchi
2 MARKETS · $25.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs13 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%· net of hedges
+93 new YES$20.5K+77 new NO$9.0K
$13.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 40 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$905 of $3.1K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $2.1K·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+41.3%)
Whales
17
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥇hedged
Entry 87¢·1,983.9 shares·also $401 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$253
+$253INV $1.7K · WR 59.6%
E
Eulhunter🥈hedged
Entry 63¢·832 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$523
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$309
+$309INV $523 · WR 55.6%
T
thestingsnake🥉
Entry 51¢·945.6 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$464
+$464INV $482 · WR 62.5%
X
xxxzibithedged
Entry 72¢·100 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $72 · WR 58.4%
T
tradecrafthedged
Entry 96¢·70 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$67
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $67 · WR 56.1%
P
Potable-Map-Chicken
Entry 99¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $42 · WR 94.7%
B
berlinskies
Entry 44¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $41 · WR 59.2%
I
igot50k
Entry 90¢·32.1 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $29 · WR 57.2%
G
GameSetMatchedhedged
Entry 13¢·121.6 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $16 · WR 56.4%
D
Disguised-Pickax-Fetus
Entry 45¢·31.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $14 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$612
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$595(-97.3%)
Whales
13
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥇hedged
Entry 46¢·865.4 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$401
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-401
$-401INV $401 · WR 59.6%
G
GameSetMatched🥈hedged
Entry 62¢·121.6 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $75 · WR 56.4%
L
Lonely-Worshiper🥉hedged
Entry 146¢·20.8 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 63.6%
X
xxxzibithedged
Entry 44¢·50 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 58.4%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 8¢·267 shares·also $523 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 55.6%
O
ojg
Entry 10¢·150 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 56.2%
T
Tricky-Gopher
Entry 63¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 76.0%
A
Apuuuh
Entry 42¢·21 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 65.4%
G
gusisherehedged
Entry 22¢·20 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 55.2%
T
tradecrafthedged
Entry 27¢·12.5 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
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