YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.6K
139 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 56 traders
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 5?
11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 5
6¢−6¢$580/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 5−6¢6¢
$580/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 5
1¢—$1140/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 5—1¢
$1140/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 5
1¢—$3770/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 5—1¢
$3770/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 5
6¢−6¢$2370/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 5−6¢6¢
$2370/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5
16¢+51¢$8222/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5+51¢16¢
$8222/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5
52¢−52¢$1.2K0/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5−52¢52¢
$1.2K0/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5
28¢+22¢$8872/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5+22¢28¢
$8872/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 5←
4¢+29¢$3.6K1/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 5←+29¢4¢
$3.6K1/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 5
1¢—$1150/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 5—1¢
$1150/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs17 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$385+33 new NO$3.1K
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $214 is directional: YES $40·NO $173YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-36.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$372
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+51.4%)
Whales
17
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·170.2 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $85 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $59 · WR 72.2%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 88.7%
P
pixiu521
Entry 79¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $40 · WR 85.7%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 50¢·77.6 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $39 · WR 82.9%
L
LJW1
Entry 82¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $33 · WR 85.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 87.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 99¢·9.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 59.7%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 97¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 56.6%
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