YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$1.3K
124 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 73 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 4?
11 MARKETS · $3.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 4
3¢−3¢$1370/2Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 4−3¢3¢
$1370/2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 4
17¢+33¢$2101/1Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 4+33¢17¢
$2101/1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 4
48¢−48¢$2540/1Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 4−48¢48¢
$2540/1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4←
31¢+9¢$1.3K2/3Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4←+9¢31¢
$1.3K2/3
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 4
5¢+28¢$1341/2Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 4+28¢5¢
$1341/2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 4
1¢—$1700/0Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 4—1¢
$1700/0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on October 4
0¢0¢$1470/1Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on October 40¢0¢
$1470/1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on October 4
0¢+100¢$201/0Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on October 4+100¢0¢
$201/0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 4
0¢—$4280/0Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 4—0¢
$4280/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$437+47 new NO$724
$57 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $431 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $215·NO $209YES Team
Total Invested
$250
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-8.5%)
Whales
7
F
fildoro🥇
Entry 31¢·488.6 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $153 · WR 67.0%
J
jbutler23🥈hedged
Entry 76¢·41.1 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $31 · WR 76.1%
C
chuzihang02🥉
Entry 33¢·93.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 62.1%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 32¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 60.8%
I
Immense-Tie
Entry 35¢·43.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 57.7%
W
Welcome2026hedged
Entry 32¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.5%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 32¢·4.5 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$228
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+4.0%)
Whales
11
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 69¢·193.6 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $134 · WR 59.4%
G
ghorrock🥈hedged
Entry 73¢·31.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $23 · WR 60.1%
A
arehovbrow🥉
Entry 69¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 86.6%
J
jbutler23hedged
Entry 37¢·41.1 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 76.1%
H
helloworld6767
Entry 70¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 62.3%
T
TunSahur
Entry 69¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 59.4%
W
Which-Need
Entry 70¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 60.3%
W
Welcome2026hedged
Entry 70¢·5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 56.5%
W
waterfrog
Entry 70¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
T
tplyespt
Entry 70¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
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