YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$970
136 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 80 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 4?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C or below on October 4
0¢0¢$3580/3Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C or below on October 40¢0¢
$3580/3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 4
0¢0¢$5800/8Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 40¢0¢
$5800/8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 4
0¢0¢$2010/5Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 40¢0¢
$2010/5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 4
1¢+13¢$2851/6Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 4+13¢1¢
$2851/6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 4
8¢−8¢$5910/5Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 4−8¢8¢
$5910/5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4
41¢−21¢$1.9K2/8Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4−21¢41¢
$1.9K2/8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4←
46¢−26¢$9702/8Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4←−26¢46¢
$9702/8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4
4¢−4¢$3160/6Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4−4¢4¢
$3160/6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 4
0¢0¢$2510/5Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 40¢0¢
$2510/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+44 new YES$387+37 new NO$533
$86 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $39 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $15·NO $23YES Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-22.4%)
Whales
6
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·75 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $53 · WR 59.4%
K
Kakawhereugo🥈
Entry 40¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 55.0%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥉
Entry 40¢·14.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 62.3%
N
Necessary-Tag
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.2%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 27¢·1.4 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 60.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 9¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$219
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-4.2%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 58¢·88.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $51 · WR 87.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 63¢·71.1 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $45 · WR 87.6%
B
Bilberry🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·75 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 59.4%
N
neverhackme
Entry 61¢·32.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 76.0%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 65¢·28 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 60.1%
K
korda77
Entry 62¢·23 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 85.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 60¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 88.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 84.4%
H
hhhhhm
Entry 50¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.1%
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