85 days left
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$3.7K
278 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 80 traders
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $28.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$41+8 new NO$228
$33 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$229
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$182(-79.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$349
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$304(+87.3%)
Whales
11
2
2fef2🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·370.5 shares·also $227 on YES
Invested
$148
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $148 · WR 78.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $40 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $40 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·53.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $27 · WR 79.6%
A
0xa24d776f...
Entry 38¢·60 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $23 · WR 90.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $20 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·34.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $17 · WR 69.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 85.9%
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