S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$1.6K
105 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 51 traders
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 2?
11 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$727+36 new NO$1.0K
$656 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $355 is directional: YES $262·NO $93YES Team
Total Invested
$347
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$120(-34.5%)
Whales
6
.
.brain.🥇
Entry 66¢·389.1 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $258 · WR 64.8%
T
thanksforplayin🥈hedged
Entry 76¢·112.6 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$85
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $85 · WR 55.6%
7
0x70784921...🥉
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.9%
3
0x3a4c3e6d...
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.1%
7
0x735073af...
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.0%
E
0xecc7bd7d...
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$182
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+11.9%)
Whales
7
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 56¢·159.2 shares·also $85 on YES
Invested
$89
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $89 · WR 55.6%
G
grasstoucher69🥈
Entry 38¢·172.3 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $66 · WR 58.8%
W
Worse-Anteater🥉
Entry 75¢·30.1 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $23 · WR 77.6%
3
0x3941cc5f...
Entry 61¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.4%
E
0xecc99e9a...
Entry 61¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
Q
Quetza123
Entry 69¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 89.8%
2
0x29633f61...
Entry 64¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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