19 days left

Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$698
48 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 22 traders

Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

2 MARKETS · $1.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs3 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$21+4 new NO$46
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $50 is directional: YES $9·NO $41

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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