YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$20.9K
776 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 168 traders
Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?
7 MARKETS · $45.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October
0¢0¢$2.8K0/17Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October0¢0¢
$2.8K0/17
Will Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October
1¢+10¢$1.9K1/8Will Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October+10¢1¢
$1.9K1/8
Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October
1¢+13¢$3.0K2/12Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October+13¢1¢
$3.0K2/12
Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October
1¢+11¢$3.8K3/23Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October+11¢1¢
$3.8K3/23
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October←
81¢−60¢$20.9K7/26Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October←−60¢81¢
$20.9K7/26
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs26 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+3 new NO$6
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $559 is directional: YES $549·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$683
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$62(+9.1%)
Whales
7
F
FrogCharts🥇
Entry 70¢·784.1 shares
Invested
$546
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $546 · WR 64.3%
S
Stained-Crossstitch🥈hedged
Entry 75¢·120 shares·also $87 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $90 · WR 87.5%
K
kiolf🥉
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 78.7%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 20¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $6 · WR 60.1%
O
Obirapitanga
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.1%
R
rher
Entry 3¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1 · WR 67.3%
Showing top 6 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$893
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$331(-37.0%)
Whales
26
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 47¢·266.8 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $126 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 38¢·319.3 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $121 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 36¢·299.7 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $107 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 33¢·268.9 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $88 · WR 87.7%
S
Stained-Crossstitchhedged
Entry 73¢·120 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $87 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 37¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $58 · WR 88.2%
C
Corny-Hyphenation
Entry 11¢·518.7 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $57 · WR 67.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·95.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $48 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 53¢·80 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $42 · WR 86.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 22¢·141.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $31 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 26
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 848ms