YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$565
74 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 2?
11 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 2
0¢+25¢$2561/3Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 2+25¢0¢
$2561/3
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 2
0¢0¢$1750/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 20¢0¢
$1750/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 2
0¢0¢$1450/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 20¢0¢
$1450/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 2
1¢−1¢$850/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 2−1¢1¢
$850/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 2
1¢−1¢$620/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 2−1¢1¢
$620/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 2
5¢+95¢$3481/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 2+95¢5¢
$3481/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 2
21¢−21¢$5810/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 2−21¢21¢
$5810/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 2←
37¢−8¢$5652/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 2←−8¢37¢
$5652/5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2
31¢−14¢$1.2K1/5Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2−14¢31¢
$1.2K1/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$179+22 new NO$352
$69 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $64 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+10.6%)
Whales
4
Y
yy199600🥇
Entry 39¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 75.0%
S
SoW-yiyi🥈
Entry 28¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 78.7%
F
Frightened-Breath🥉
Entry 37¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 28¢·2.3 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-4.8%)
Whales
7
R
RamsBR🥇
Entry 63¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 63.0%
T
talllll🥈
Entry 76¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 79.0%
G
ghorrock🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·17 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 60.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 68¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 88.1%
N
Near-Science
Entry 80¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 62.2%
N
neverhackme
Entry 59¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 76.1%
S
SHWABRA
Entry 77¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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