YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$1.6K
230 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 76 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 1?
11 MARKETS · $5.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on October 1
0¢—$810/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on October 1—0¢
$810/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 1
1¢—$2880/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 1—1¢
$2880/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 1
1¢—$3550/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 1—1¢
$3550/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 1
3¢—$2340/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 1—3¢
$2340/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1
27¢—$9680/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1—27¢
$9680/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1
47¢—$6970/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1—47¢
$6970/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1←
25¢—$1.6K0/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1←—25¢
$1.6K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 1
3¢—$2180/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 1—3¢
$2180/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 1
0¢—$2270/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 1—0¢
$2270/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+43 new YES$420+45 new NO$1.2K
$105 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $432 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $80·NO $347YES Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
55.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-9.0%)
Whales
3
A
averageuser🥇
Entry 28¢·288.9 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $80 · WR 55.0%
G
ghorrock🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·6.3 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 59.9%
D
donthackme🥉hedged
Entry 9¢·11.6 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$401
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+4.2%)
Whales
13
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 74¢·374.1 shares
Invested
$278
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $278 · WR 60.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 78¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 72.0%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 70¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 85.8%
D
donthackmehedged
Entry 79¢·17.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 87.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 61¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 83.9%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 75¢·15.2 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 59.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·22 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 86.8%
W
Which-Need
Entry 78¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 62.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 79.1%
I
Insubstantial-Hydraulics-Kettledrum
Entry 82¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 74.9%
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