YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$2.3K
203 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 97 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?
11 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1
1¢−1¢$3600/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1−1¢1¢
$3600/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1
1¢+32¢$771/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1+32¢1¢
$771/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1
1¢+12¢$1791/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1+12¢1¢
$1791/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1
8¢+17¢$3361/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1+17¢8¢
$3361/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1
28¢−28¢$1.6K0/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1−28¢28¢
$1.6K0/4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1
35¢−25¢$4191/9Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1−25¢35¢
$4191/9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1←
19¢+21¢$2.3K4/6Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1←+21¢19¢
$2.3K4/6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 1
7¢+43¢$4982/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 1+43¢7¢
$4982/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 1
1¢−1¢$1760/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 1−1¢1¢
$1760/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+67 new YES$527+56 new NO$1.8K
$308 of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $704 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $30·NO $665YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-8.4%)
Whales
6
C
cleaningLady🥇
Entry 21¢·104.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 60.8%
S
SoW-yiyi🥈
Entry 26¢·16 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 78.9%
G
ghorrock🥉hedged
Entry 20¢·19.8 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 59.9%
A
AuspiciousWolfhedged
Entry 22¢·8.7 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.4%
M
Majas
Entry 23¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 72.9%
S
season2026
Entry 23¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$670
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+0.9%)
Whales
9
F
fildoro🥇
Entry 80¢·565.4 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $453 · WR 67.4%
Y
yueyueyn🥈
Entry 80¢·84.8 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $68 · WR 61.4%
C
chuzihang02🥉
Entry 78¢·77.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $61 · WR 64.1%
A
AuspiciousWolfhedged
Entry 80¢·60 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $48 · WR 63.4%
R
ROWNDZERO
Entry 73¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 77.2%
W
whhisky
Entry 77¢·14 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 71.1%
N
newbie147
Entry 81¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 71.6%
H
hamid1919
Entry 78¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 75.3%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 78¢·3.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 59.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 374ms