YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$327
55 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 23 traders
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 1?
11 MARKETS · $9.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on October 1
1¢−1¢$3070/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on October 1−1¢1¢
$3070/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 1
0¢0¢$1160/1Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 10¢0¢
$1160/1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 1
2¢−2¢$2830/1Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 1−2¢2¢
$2830/1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 1←
20¢−20¢$3270/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 1←−20¢20¢
$3270/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1
75¢−75¢$1.0K0/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1−75¢75¢
$1.0K0/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 1
1¢+26¢$3.0K3/8Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 1+26¢1¢
$3.0K3/8
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 1
1¢+16¢$3.1K1/5Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 1+16¢1¢
$3.1K1/5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 1
0¢0¢$7110/4Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 10¢0¢
$7110/4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 1
1¢−1¢$3140/4Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 1−1¢1¢
$3140/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs6 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$43+13 new NO$259
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $82 is directional: YES $16·NO $65YES Team
Total Invested
$37
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-7.3%)
Whales
9
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥇
Entry 50¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 59.4%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 22¢·31.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 86.8%
H
Hasty-Worker🥉
Entry 16¢·43.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 59.6%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 35¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 59.4%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 25¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 59.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 20¢·8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 9¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 72.0%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 12¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 59.2%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 12¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$110
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+18.3%)
Whales
6
3
0x3925c447...🥇
Entry 88¢·50.9 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $45 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $40 · WR 88.1%
P
pixiu521🥉
Entry 82¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 86.1%
N
Near-Science
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 62.2%
T
tribunal
Entry 79¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 77.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 84.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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