7 days left

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 14, 2026?

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YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$758

40 trades

Smart Whales

8

of 27 traders

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

26 MARKETS · $27.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 10, 2026

4¢−4¢$2320/7

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 10, 2026−4¢4¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 11, 2026

5¢−5¢$860/3

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 11, 2026−5¢5¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 12, 2026

4¢−4¢$960/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 12, 2026−4¢4¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 13, 2026

1¢−1¢$960/6

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 13, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 14, 2026←

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 14, 2026←+8¢5¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 15, 2026

5¢−5¢$1160/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 15, 2026−5¢5¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 16, 2026

1¢−1¢$960/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 16, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 17, 2026

1¢−1¢$960/5

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 17, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 18, 2026

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/6

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 18, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 19, 2026

1¢−1¢$930/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 19, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026

6¢−6¢$2.7K0/6

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026−6¢6¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026

8¢+9¢$2.4K1/5

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026+9¢8¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026

4¢−4¢$1060/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026−4¢4¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 23, 2026

4¢−4¢$6110/8

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 23, 2026−4¢4¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 24, 2026

4¢−4¢$860/3

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 24, 2026−4¢4¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 25, 2026

1¢−1¢$980/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 25, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 26, 2026

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 26, 2026+8¢6¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 27, 2026

1¢−1¢$910/3

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 27, 2026−1¢1¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026

8¢+12¢$4.5K2/8

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026+12¢8¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 29, 2026

5¢−5¢$1.3K0/5

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 29, 2026−5¢5¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 30, 2026

3¢−3¢$2370/7

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 30, 2026−3¢3¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026

2¢−2¢$1.1K0/7

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026−2¢2¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 7, 2026

21¢−4¢$1471/5

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 7, 2026−4¢21¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 8, 2026

3¢−3¢$910/4

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 8, 2026−3¢3¢

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 9, 2026

8¢−8¢$760/5

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 9, 2026−8¢8¢

by October 31, 2026

23¢+2¢$10.4K3/9

by October 31, 2026+2¢23¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs7 NO

13%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%

+1 new YES$2+2 new NO$71

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $351 is directional: YES $4·NO $347

YES Team

Total Invested

$4

Avg Win Rate

63.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-5.7%)

Whales

1

molodoyyProven🥇

Entry 6¢·75.7 shares

$-0INV $4 · WR 63.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$396

Avg Win Rate

76.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$60(+15.2%)

Whales

7

Entry 92¢·363.7 shares

+$16INV $334 · WR 76.9%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$18INV $20 · WR 72.2%

Entry 91¢·14.2 shares

+$1INV $13 · WR 56.0%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 85.7%

Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise

Entry 50¢·18 shares

+$8INV $9 · WR 78.6%

Clever-Catalysis

Entry 50¢·10.1 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 81.1%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$4INV $5 · WR 66.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 13% YES: Meta's Watermelon model be released…