260 days left

Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

26¢

26% implied

NO Price

74¢

74% implied

Volume

$2.2K

115 trades

Smart Whales

of 49 traders

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

5 MARKETS · $9.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

by June 30, 2027

85¢+15¢$1.1K3/0

by June 30, 2027+15¢85¢

$1.1K3/0

by June 30, 2027

78¢−28¢$1.6K1/1

by June 30, 2027−28¢78¢

$1.6K1/1

by June 30, 2027

48¢+52¢$2.4K1/0

by June 30, 2027+52¢48¢

$2.4K1/0

by June 30, 2027

35¢+5¢$2.0K2/3

by June 30, 2027+5¢35¢

$2.0K2/3

by June 30, 2027←

26¢+41¢$2.2K2/1

by June 30, 2027←+41¢26¢

$2.2K2/1

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs2 NO

60%40%

60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges

+17 new YES$280+24 new NO$1.6K

$194 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $107 is directional: YES $54·NO $54

YES Team

Total Invested

$70

Avg Win Rate

68.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+1.6%)

Whales

+$7INV $45 · WR 72.7%

cloverpmq2🥈hedged

Entry 81¢·20 shares·also $2 on NO

$-11INV $16 · WR 60.1%

QR1🥉

Entry 15¢·52.7 shares

NO Team

Total Invested

$56

Avg Win Rate

63.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$11(+18.8%)

Whales

+$6INV $54 · WR 63.6%

cloverpmq2🥈hedged

Entry 27¢·8.8 shares·also $16 on YES

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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