YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$8.2K
460 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 86 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?
9 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
2¢+15¢$1851/5Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+15¢2¢
$1851/5
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢+22¢$3461/3Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+22¢3¢
$3461/3
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢+17¢$1381/4Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+17¢3¢
$1381/4
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
2¢−2¢$800/2Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide−2¢2¢
$800/2
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
14¢+19¢$9172/4Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+19¢14¢
$9172/4
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
7¢+15¢$9422/7Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+15¢7¢
$9422/7
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
4¢+16¢$4811/4Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+16¢4¢
$4811/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs8 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$666+19 new NO$305
$176 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $694 is directional: YES $548·NO $146YES Team
Total Invested
$578
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$468(+81.0%)
Whales
6
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 40¢·987.6 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$350
+$350INV $396 · WR 60.6%
G
Gemini123🥈
Entry 49¢·291.5 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $142 · WR 83.3%
D
DJBLAK🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·48.4 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $30 · WR 73.1%
B
Bitgod
Entry 12¢·45 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $5 · WR 91.2%
A
0xaf679e18...
Entry 37¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 58.3%
R
RedFoxxie
Entry 49¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 56.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$179
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$95(-52.8%)
Whales
8
J
joe48691🥇
Entry 50¢·208.5 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $105 · WR 67.5%
D
DJBLAK🥈hedged
Entry 51¢·48.4 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $25 · WR 73.1%
O
Opulent-Communicant🥉
Entry 68¢·29.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 73.0%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 65¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 84.5%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 43¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 85.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 43¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 89.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 24¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 23¢·8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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