436 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$4.1K
184 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 68 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
15 MARKETS · $25.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027
2¢−2¢$6110/9Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027−2¢2¢
$6110/9
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027
3¢+6¢$6191/10Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027+6¢3¢
$6191/10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027
4¢+4¢$8671/11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027+4¢4¢
$8671/11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027
4¢−4¢$8390/9Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027−4¢4¢
$8390/9
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027
7¢+2¢$8281/10Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027+2¢7¢
$8281/10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027
14¢−6¢$2.4K1/11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027−6¢14¢
$2.4K1/11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027
20¢+1¢$6.7K3/11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027+1¢20¢
$6.7K3/11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027←
38¢−23¢$4.1K2/11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027←−23¢38¢
$4.1K2/11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027
14¢−14¢$2.1K0/12Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027−14¢14¢
$2.1K0/12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027
10¢−2¢$1.8K1/12Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027−2¢10¢
$1.8K1/12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027
3¢+6¢$1.6K1/10Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027+6¢3¢
$1.6K1/10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027
1¢−1¢$5580/11Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027−1¢1¢
$5580/11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/13Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+4 new NO$171
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $126 is directional: YES $126·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$126
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$294(+232.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$254
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+20.0%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·223.8 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $112 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $33 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·64.5 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 79¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 87.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·21.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 68.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 66.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 84.3%
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