YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$1.2K
121 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 53 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 25?
11 MARKETS · $3.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on September 25
0¢—$1040/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on September 25—0¢
$1040/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 25
1¢—$600/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 25—1¢
$600/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25
4¢—$2320/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25—4¢
$2320/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 25
9¢—$5050/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 25—9¢
$5050/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25
23¢—$5410/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25—23¢
$5410/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25
40¢—$4260/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25—40¢
$4260/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25←
23¢—$1.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25←—23¢
$1.2K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25
7¢—$3120/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25—7¢
$3120/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25
2¢—$2580/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25—2¢
$2580/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$222+35 new NO$992
$71 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $202 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $72·NO $127YES Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-2.7%)
Whales
5
A
averageuser🥇
Entry 23¢·185.4 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $43 · WR 62.8%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 21¢·100 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 60.1%
6
0x6de1ce34...🥉
Entry 23¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.0%
5
0x5d68d921...
Entry 30¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 56.9%
R
runningman-848hedged
Entry 20¢·6.9 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$268
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+11.7%)
Whales
12
F
fildoro🥇
Entry 77¢·112 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $86 · WR 68.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 57¢·113.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $64 · WR 86.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 66¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 87.6%
H
highstake.trade
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 88.1%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 78¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 61.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 89.1%
W
wfffkkl
Entry 82¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 61.6%
N
newbie147
Entry 83¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 73.2%
7
0x769f73c4...
Entry 84¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 60.0%
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