Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$8.1K
446 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 87 traders · 1 on both sides
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?
6 MARKETS · $17.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27
59¢−38¢$4.9K3/11Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27−38¢59¢
$4.9K3/11
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27
22¢+9¢$2.3K5/11Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27+9¢22¢
$2.3K5/11
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27
12¢+1¢$1.0K1/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27+1¢12¢
$1.0K1/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27
7¢+18¢$6622/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27+18¢7¢
$6622/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$324+19 new NO$1.7K
$98 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $116 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $68·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$71
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-75.5%)
Whales
4
2
2Sherlock🥇
Entry 16¢·308.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $51 · WR 57.7%
M
ms1910🥈
Entry 20¢·80 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 57.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·40.4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 17¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 83.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$231
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$130(+56.2%)
Whales
14
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 53¢·99 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $53 · WR 79.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 51¢·84.9 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $43 · WR 86.7%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 69¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $27 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 72.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 62¢·30.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $19 · WR 85.4%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·32.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $16 · WR 55.8%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 96¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 59.3%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.3%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 78.9%
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