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Geopolitics19 days left

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$8.7K
228 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 73 traders

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

2 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs6 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$86+3 new NO$159
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $227 is directional: YES $209·NO $18
YES Team
Total Invested
$652
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$124(+19.0%)
Whales
9
M
Marco-Rubio🥇hedged
Entry 66¢·418 shares·also $582 on NO
$-24INV $275 · WR 62.6%
P
PooryProven🥈
Entry 50¢·299.5 shares
+$30INV $150 · WR 83.1%
A
a5ym3tr1cvalue🥉
Entry 79¢·139 shares
+$8INV $110 · WR 75.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 84¢·56.6 shares
+$0INV $48 · WR 68.2%
K
KimchiCapitalProven
Entry 61¢·60 shares
+$6INV $37 · WR 79.3%
F
Fastonhedged
Entry 31¢·47.7 shares·also $7 on NO
+$14INV $15 · WR 55.2%
O
oklm5
Entry 81¢·10 shares
+$0INV $8 · WR 83.3%
M
melonmanmProven
Entry 70¢·10 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 69.6%
C
Compound-57hedged
Entry 2¢·156 shares·also $134 on NO
+$90INV $4 · WR 73.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 60% YES: Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting…