YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.2K
247 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 79 traders · 2 on both sides
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?
7 MARKETS · $11.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
1¢+62¢$6.2K5/3Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+62¢1¢
$6.2K5/3
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
74¢−34¢$2.8K2/3Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−34¢74¢
$2.8K2/3
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
19¢+21¢$6582/3Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+21¢19¢
$6582/3
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
2¢+31¢$3901/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+31¢2¢
$3901/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+24¢$1321/3Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+24¢1¢
$1321/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs12 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$1.3K+30 new NO$2.6K
$627 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$36 of $576 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $199·NO $342YES Team
Total Invested
$260
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$245(-94.3%)
Whales
6
K
KiruaTrading🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·214.7 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$105
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $105 · WR 59.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 14¢·700 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $100 · WR 72.0%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy🥉hedged
Entry 49¢·70 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 81.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 59.1%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433hedged
Entry 63¢·10.6 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 86.0%
H
hamid1919
Entry 65¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 73.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$511
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$120(+23.5%)
Whales
12
D
Dr.mett🥇
Entry 99¢·267.9 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $265 · WR 88.3%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 57¢·116 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $66 · WR 79.1%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·70 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $46 · WR 81.5%
H
Henryfifthofhisname
Entry 97¢·41.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 58.3%
A
Aergia
Entry 98¢·28 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 90.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 46¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $18 · WR 87.5%
K
KiruaTradinghedged
Entry 86¢·15 shares·also $105 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 59.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 44¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 88.7%
B
big-bird1
Entry 99¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 68.3%
D
Defensive-Attachment
Entry 50¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 71.2%
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