YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$702
117 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 53 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
11 MARKETS · $3.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on September 23
1¢—$50/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on September 23—1¢
$50/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 23
1¢—$550/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 23—1¢
$550/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 23
5¢—$600/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 23—5¢
$600/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23
11¢—$3950/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23—11¢
$3950/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23
34¢—$2430/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23—34¢
$2430/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23
31¢—$8730/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23—31¢
$8730/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23←
16¢—$7020/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23←—16¢
$7020/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23
8¢—$3150/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23—8¢
$3150/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 23
5¢—$1120/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 23—5¢
$1120/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$117+26 new NO$540
$59 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $226 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $27·NO $179YES Team
Total Invested
$37
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-10.1%)
Whales
4
N
newbie147🥇hedged
Entry 16¢·195.9 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $31 · WR 74.1%
R
runningman-848🥈
Entry 13¢·18 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.1%
9
0x9c95da0c...🥉
Entry 14¢·15 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.2%
E
emberthespirit
Entry 16¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$229
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+16.7%)
Whales
10
F
fildoro🥇
Entry 84¢·123.1 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $103 · WR 69.2%
G
ghorrock🥈
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 59.7%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 53¢·63.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $34 · WR 86.0%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 85¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 62.2%
W
wfffkkl
Entry 87¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 61.9%
N
newbie147hedged
Entry 88¢·11.5 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 74.1%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 55.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 87.7%
W
wwwoooeee
Entry 77¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 65.0%
J
jbutler23
Entry 8¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $1 · WR 76.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 175ms