YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$737
123 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 59 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
11 MARKETS · $785 MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or below on September 22
2¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or below on September 22—2¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 22
2¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 22—2¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 22
19¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 22—19¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 22
15¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 22—15¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22
20¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22—20¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22
41¢—$480/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22—41¢
$480/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22←
30¢—$7370/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22←—30¢
$7370/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22
15¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22—15¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 22
20¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 22—20¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+30 new YES$381+35 new NO$697
$77 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $393 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $58·NO $315YES Team
Total Invested
$68
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-5.6%)
Whales
6
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇
Entry 29¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $35 · WR 59.0%
N
newbie147🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·57 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $21 · WR 75.3%
E
emberthespirit🥉
Entry 38¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 61.9%
A
Alcaraz2026
Entry 32¢·9.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 56.1%
S
season2026
Entry 32¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.2%
P
pepead
Entry 37¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$325
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+2.4%)
Whales
11
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 67¢·255.1 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $170 · WR 60.6%
W
Wilted-Carbohydrate-Ignorance🥈
Entry 72¢·103 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $74 · WR 76.9%
R
runningman-848🥉
Entry 64¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 56.1%
R
Ronenamar5
Entry 81¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 71.1%
N
newbie147hedged
Entry 70¢·14.5 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 75.3%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 63.1%
W
wwwoooeee
Entry 79¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 63.8%
5
0x5bac61d6...
Entry 62¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 60.0%
S
sb896345
Entry 70¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 62.4%
W
whhisky
Entry 63¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 71.2%
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