YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$753
75 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
11 MARKETS · $2.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on September 21
0¢—$1110/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on September 21—0¢
$1110/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 21
1¢—$2670/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 21—1¢
$2670/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21
5¢—$950/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21—5¢
$950/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21
10¢—$3010/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21—10¢
$3010/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21←
23¢—$7530/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21←—23¢
$7530/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21
28¢—$1850/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21—28¢
$1850/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21
26¢—$3300/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21—26¢
$3300/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21
11¢—$1560/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21—11¢
$1560/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21
6¢—$900/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21—6¢
$900/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs5 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$167+24 new NO$591
$67 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $86 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $51·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.7%)
Whales
8
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇
Entry 22¢·118 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 59.0%
N
newbie147🥈hedged
Entry 31¢·66.9 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $21 · WR 75.3%
A
AuspiciousWolf🥉
Entry 24¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 69.2%
A
Alcaraz2026
Entry 23¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.1%
S
season2026
Entry 23¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.2%
P
pepead
Entry 22¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.4%
E
emberthespirit
Entry 24¢·7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.9%
J
justx8
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+34.3%)
Whales
5
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 50¢·64.9 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $32 · WR 85.9%
W
wetno🥈
Entry 65¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 82.7%
N
newbie147🥉hedged
Entry 79¢·12.8 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 75.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 71.9%
W
whhisky
Entry 93¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 71.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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