Tech/AI97 days left
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$2.4K
79 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
2 MARKETS · $5.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs2 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$13+3 new NO$47
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $62·NO $964YES Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-18.8%)
Whales
5
A
AlphaGooo🥇
Entry 14¢·400 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $54 · WR 62.7%
M
mskl🥈
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $35 · WR 58.2%
R
romanew-1-new🥉
Entry 15¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $6 · WR 65.0%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 13¢·33 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 58.9%
S
Shady-Allergist
Entry 17¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$105(+10.4%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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