6 days left

Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

16¢

16% implied

NO Price

84¢

84% implied

Volume

$2.2K

131 trades

Smart Whales

of 52 traders · 1 on both sides

VMA Artist of the Year 2026

6 MARKETS · $13.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Sabrina Carpenter+16¢9¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges

+19 new YES$389+28 new NO$1.4K

$280 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales10 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$2 of $88 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $86·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$87

Avg Win Rate

63.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$21(-23.7%)

Whales

$-26INV $85 · WR 64.0%

Pricey-Million🥈hedged

Entry 3¢·44 shares·also $1 on NO

NO Team

Total Invested

$601

Avg Win Rate

79.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$312(+52.0%)

Whales

+$84INV $124 · WR 86.2%

e46m3🥈

Entry 70¢·166.6 shares

+$23INV $117 · WR 79.2%

Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥉

Entry 50¢·207.8 shares

+$71INV $104 · WR 58.9%

+$40INV $95 · WR 85.3%

+$58INV $85 · WR 88.1%

graynotebook19

Entry 69¢·43.8 shares

+$7INV $30 · WR 89.4%

Needy-Logo

Entry 50¢·28.8 shares

+$10INV $14 · WR 79.7%

Limping-Baggie-Technique

+$7INV $10 · WR 58.8%

+$7INV $10 · WR 66.2%

+$7INV $10 · WR 85.8%

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