YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$475
65 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 41 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
11 MARKETS · $2.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 20
2¢−2¢$2010/4Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 20−2¢2¢
$2010/4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20
6¢—$2700/0Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20—6¢
$2700/0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20
11¢+39¢$1131/1Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20+39¢11¢
$1131/1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20
22¢+7¢$6512/5Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20+7¢22¢
$6512/5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20
27¢−27¢$500/3Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20−27¢27¢
$500/3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20←
25¢+42¢$4754/2Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20←+42¢25¢
$4754/2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 20
14¢−14¢$4170/5Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 20−14¢14¢
$4170/5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 20
3¢−3¢$1010/1Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 20−3¢3¢
$1010/1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 20
0¢0¢$1420/1Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 200¢0¢
$1420/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs5 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$100+20 new NO$307
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $55 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $31·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-14.7%)
Whales
8
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 38¢·27 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 75.3%
B
Balancedmind🥈
Entry 27¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 57.2%
9
0x9c95da0c...🥉
Entry 21¢·21 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 59.0%
9
0x9a1aaf2e...
Entry 27¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 57.4%
A
Alcaraz2026
Entry 24¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.1%
B
Bilberry
Entry 26¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.6%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 23¢·1 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
E
emberthespirit
Entry 24¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 61.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+3.6%)
Whales
5
G
ghorrock🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·14.3 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 59.6%
R
ROWNDZERO🥈
Entry 78¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 73.4%
S
sailor82🥉
Entry 74¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 69.6%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 63.1%
N
Near-Science
Entry 77¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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