YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$958
110 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 55 traders · 6 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
11 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on September 20
1¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on September 20—1¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 20
1¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 20—1¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 20
2¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 20—2¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 20
8¢—$610/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 20—8¢
$610/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 20
8¢—$960/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 20—8¢
$960/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20←
23¢—$9580/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20←—23¢
$9580/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20
49¢—$2410/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20—49¢
$2410/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20
19¢—$6120/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20—19¢
$6120/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20
5¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20—5¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs14 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+35 new YES$290+43 new NO$685
$320 of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 53% of the money is not a bet
$130 of $245 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $1·NO $113YES Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-42.7%)
Whales
8
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇hedged
Entry 36¢·66.8 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $24 · WR 60.0%
T
TojeTestUserr12🥈hedged
Entry 41¢·44 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $18 · WR 56.4%
E
emberthespirit🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·28.4 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 63.8%
A
AuspiciousWolfhedged
Entry 38¢·13.3 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 70.0%
P
pepeadhedged
Entry 35¢·14 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 61.1%
E
0xe778ef23...hedged
Entry 76¢·3.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 82.6%
A
Alcaraz2026hedged
Entry 37¢·5.6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.0%
A
artgrav
Entry 37¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$197
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+16.8%)
Whales
14
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·106 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $71 · WR 60.0%
T
TojeTestUserr12🥈hedged
Entry 72¢·62 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $45 · WR 56.4%
E
emberthespirit🥉hedged
Entry 70¢·45.5 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $32 · WR 63.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 89.4%
P
pepeadhedged
Entry 72¢·11 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 61.1%
A
AuspiciousWolfhedged
Entry 73¢·10.6 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 70.0%
F
fox49374
Entry 60¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 65.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.1%
A
agentcal
Entry 67¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 56.6%
N
Near-Science
Entry 72¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.6%
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