58 days left

Will “Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$67

19 trades

Smart Whales

of 14 traders

CMA Music Video of the Year 2026

7 MARKETS · $5.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

by Kacey Musgraves win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards

4¢−4¢$410/2

by Kacey Musgraves win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards−4¢4¢

$410/2

“Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley

42¢+2¢$3.0K4/5

“Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley+2¢42¢

$3.0K4/5

“Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves←

17¢−17¢$670/2

“Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves←−17¢17¢

$670/2

“Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr.

29¢+9¢$2.2K3/5

“Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr.+9¢29¢

$2.2K3/5

“The Fall” by Cody Johnson

37¢−37¢$870/1

“The Fall” by Cody Johnson−37¢37¢

$870/1

“White Horse” by Chris Stapleton

7¢−7¢$470/1

“White Horse” by Chris Stapleton−7¢7¢

$470/1

by Kacey Musgraves win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards

2¢−2¢$1100/1

by Kacey Musgraves win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−2¢2¢

$1100/1

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges

+3 new YES$10+11 new NO$149

$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

YES Team

Total Invested

$77

Avg Win Rate

57.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$43(-56.5%)

Whales

$-43INV $77 · WR 57.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$51

Avg Win Rate

81.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$26(+50.3%)

Whales

+$13INV $20 · WR 89.1%

+$13INV $20 · WR 79.4%

Majas🥉

Entry 90¢·12.7 shares

$-1INV $11 · WR 73.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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