Politics15 days left
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$1.8K
108 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 42 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
17¢−7¢$7551/9Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−7¢17¢
$7551/9
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
43¢−28¢$1.8K2/11Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←−28¢43¢
$1.8K2/11
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
26¢−18¢$2.4K1/12Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−18¢26¢
$2.4K1/12
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$31+6 new NO$71
$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $140 is directional: YES $140·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$165(+100.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$332
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+5.9%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 55¢·212.4 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $116 · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 51¢·100.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $51 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $40 · WR 79.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $40 · WR 85.7%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 66¢·40 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $27 · WR 63.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 56¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 79.3%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 62¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 85.5%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 52¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 85.3%
Z
zua
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 85.1%
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