YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$1.1K
184 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 79 traders
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
11 MARKETS · $4.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on September 17
0¢0¢$1670/3Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on September 170¢0¢
$1670/3
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on September 17
0¢0¢$1570/3Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on September 170¢0¢
$1570/3
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 17
26¢—$3130/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 17—26¢
$3130/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 17
5¢+28¢$4712/4Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 17+28¢5¢
$4712/4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 17
27¢−27¢$1.4K0/4Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 17−27¢27¢
$1.4K0/4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 17←
54¢+13¢$1.1K6/3Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 17←+13¢54¢
$1.1K6/3
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 17
0¢0¢$3880/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 170¢0¢
$3880/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 17
0¢—$310/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 17—0¢
$310/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 17
0¢—$530/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 17—0¢
$530/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs14 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
+44 new YES$512+46 new NO$581
$410 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $116 is directional: YES $73·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+60.6%)
Whales
10
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇
Entry 49¢·63.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 60.3%
Y
yebaka🥈hedged
Entry 53¢·33 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 55.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 9¢·147 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $13 · WR 71.8%
E
emberthespirit
Entry 50¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 65.3%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 56¢·18.1 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 66.3%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 51¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 70.5%
L
Lucky444444
Entry 54¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 58.5%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 48¢·7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 55.6%
T
T0asted204
Entry 41¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.2%
N
Near-Science
Entry 36¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$157
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-5.9%)
Whales
14
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 46¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 85.9%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 55¢·49.3 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 60.7%
F
Fat-Wall🥉
Entry 49¢·43.1 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $21 · WR 77.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 51¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 85.4%
X
Xiaomao2006
Entry 85¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $11 · WR 64.3%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 55¢·18.1 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 66.3%
Y
yebakahedged
Entry 30¢·33 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 55.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 49¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 85.7%
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