Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?

YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$12.3K
482 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 112 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs23 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$4.6K+47 new NO$1.9K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$30 of $434 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $360·NO $43

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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