Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 16?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.2K
148 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 69 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 16?
11 MARKETS · $4.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on September 16
1¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on September 16—1¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 16
4¢+13¢$3261/5Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 16+13¢4¢
$3261/5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 16←
5¢+38¢$1.2K6/8Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 16←+38¢5¢
$1.2K6/8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 16
95¢−55¢$2.2K8/12Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 16−55¢95¢
$2.2K8/12
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 16
0¢+50¢$2872/2Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 16+50¢0¢
$2872/2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 16
0¢—$280/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 16—0¢
$280/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 16
0¢—$100/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 16—0¢
$100/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 16
0¢—$100/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 16—0¢
$100/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 16
0¢—$160/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 16—0¢
$160/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs12 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$194+20 new NO$375
$121 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $57 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $47·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$82
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-79.4%)
Whales
8
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 38¢·111.4 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $42 · WR 60.7%
H
hlwp229🥈hedged
Entry 188¢·14.1 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 91.9%
W
wert4🥉hedged
Entry 61¢·10.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 66.3%
B
BudaZeuski
Entry 42¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 70.3%
A
Alcaraz2026hedged
Entry 45¢·4.5 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.7%
W
Weird-Holder
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 76.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 1¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 79.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 0¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$125
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$135(+107.7%)
Whales
12
H
hlwp229🥇hedged
Entry 179¢·14.1 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $25 · WR 91.9%
M
midturn.rekt🥈
Entry 50¢·46.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $23 · WR 85.9%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 79.4%
J
Jolly-Particle
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 93.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·70 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $6 · WR 71.8%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 65¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 55.6%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 31¢·10.2 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $3 · WR 66.3%
F
fabres04
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 68.5%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 353ms