YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$166.6K
1,307 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 217 traders · 8 on both sides
Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian
2 MARKETS · $166.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs30 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 19 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+150 new YES$80.3K+130 new NO$98.3K
$50.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 62 buyers — left out of momentum
36 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.6K of $48.5K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $20.9K·NO $26.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$21.7K
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$18.0K(-82.7%)
Whales
31
G
Gambler661🥇
Entry 38¢·38,778.6 shares
Invested
$14.8K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-12128
$-12128INV $14.8K · WR 72.7%
R
Runemup🥈
Entry 35¢·7,352.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-2068
$-2068INV $2.6K · WR 60.2%
Q
qrup🥉
Entry 57¢·2,826.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-1414
$-1414INV $1.6K · WR 64.0%
L
luckybanks
Entry 76¢·1,313.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-908
$-908INV $1.0K · WR 80.0%
G
gagarin59hedged
Entry 74¢·666 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-446
$-446INV $493 · WR 64.4%
F
Flaznorphedged
Entry 41¢·544.1 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$222
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-184
$-184INV $222 · WR 55.1%
G
ghostorderhedged
Entry 76¢·250 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$189
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $189 · WR 55.6%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 48¢·279.4 shares·also $864 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $135 · WR 56.1%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 36¢·332 shares·also $177 on NO
Invested
$119
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $119 · WR 61.2%
S
superevelyn
Entry 38¢·205.4 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $78 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$29.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.4K(+52.6%)
Whales
30
T
tradecraft🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·16,565.7 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$10.2K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$5231
+$5231INV $10.2K · WR 57.0%
T
TRCM🥈
Entry 55¢·10,906.7 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$4163
+$4163INV $6.0K · WR 56.6%
F
flatbarrel🥉
Entry 62¢·4,525 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$1391
+$1391INV $2.8K · WR 60.5%
F
Flaznorphedged
Entry 51¢·4,493.1 shares·also $222 on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$1895
+$1895INV $2.3K · WR 55.1%
T
thestingsnake
Entry 64¢·2,953.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$856
+$856INV $1.9K · WR 62.4%
S
SchruteBucks
Entry 63¢·1,844 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$551
+$551INV $1.2K · WR 64.6%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 56¢·1,534.4 shares·also $135 on YES
Invested
$864
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$563
+$563INV $864 · WR 56.1%
G
ghostorderhedged
Entry 64¢·781.3 shares·also $189 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $500 · WR 55.6%
M
MurkSniper
Entry 87¢·446.1 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $386 · WR 71.5%
D
Disguised-Pickax-Fetushedged
Entry 67¢·300.6 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$203
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $203 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 30
Smart Whale Trades
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