Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 15?
YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$940
122 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 59 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
11 MARKETS · $5.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on September 15
1¢−1¢$760/1Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on September 15−1¢1¢
$760/1
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 15
1¢—$100/0Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 15—1¢
$100/0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 15
2¢+15¢$1381/5Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 15+15¢2¢
$1381/5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 15
2¢−2¢$2050/5Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 15−2¢2¢
$2050/5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 15
5¢+6¢$4611/8Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 15+6¢5¢
$4611/8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 15←
49¢−16¢$9405/10Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 15←−16¢49¢
$9405/10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 15
49¢−49¢$9100/11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 15−49¢49¢
$9100/11
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 15
0¢+27¢$1.4K3/8Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 15+27¢0¢
$1.4K3/8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 15
0¢0¢$4340/7Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 150¢0¢
$4340/7
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs12 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$308+38 new NO$449
$226 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $60 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $25·NO $34YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+77.6%)
Whales
7
W
wallingj13🥇
Entry 50¢·43.5 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 70.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 9¢·199.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $18 · WR 71.8%
W
Welcome2026🥉
Entry 48¢·7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.5%
N
Near-Science
Entry 51¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 61.6%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 82.9%
W
Weird-Holderhedged
Entry 35¢·2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 75.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 9¢·3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 85.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+8.1%)
Whales
12
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 61¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 60.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.2%
P
Past-Dance
Entry 67¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 69.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 79.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 89.5%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 61¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 67.4%
W
wert4
Entry 62¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.6%
W
Weird-Holderhedged
Entry 60¢·5.8 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 75.8%
F
Fortunate-Resolve
Entry 59¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 59.6%
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