YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$641
74 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on September 15
1¢−1¢$1580/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on September 15−1¢1¢
$1580/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 15
1¢—$640/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 15—1¢
$640/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 15
3¢—$1480/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 15—3¢
$1480/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15
4¢−4¢$2310/3Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 15−4¢4¢
$2310/3
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 15
20¢+9¢$3102/5Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 15+9¢20¢
$3102/5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 15←
44¢+23¢$6412/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 15←+23¢44¢
$6412/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15
28¢−28¢$5460/2Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15−28¢28¢
$5460/2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 15
2¢−2¢$200/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 15−2¢2¢
$200/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 15
2¢−2¢$450/2Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 15−2¢2¢
$450/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs3 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$265+21 new NO$389
$116 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $130 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $74·NO $53YES Team
Total Invested
$76
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+3.9%)
Whales
5
C
cleaningLady🥇
Entry 42¢·145 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $61 · WR 60.3%
U
underwaterdruid🥈
Entry 42¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
93.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 93.9%
E
Elena-2026🥉
Entry 44¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 60.9%
M
Musty-Generation
Entry 42¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.7%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 39¢·5 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$55
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-6.6%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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