YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$1.1K
102 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 54 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
11 MARKETS · $8.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 15
0¢+33¢$2421/2Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 15+33¢0¢
$2421/2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15
0¢0¢$2160/3Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 150¢0¢
$2160/3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 15
0¢+33¢$621/2Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 15+33¢0¢
$621/2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15
4¢−4¢$1.3K0/8Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15−4¢4¢
$1.3K0/8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15
11¢−11¢$1.0K0/7Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15−11¢11¢
$1.0K0/7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15
24¢−24¢$5110/5Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15−24¢24¢
$5110/5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15
30¢+10¢$9474/6Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15+10¢30¢
$9474/6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15←
27¢−2¢$1.1K2/6Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15←−2¢27¢
$1.1K2/6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15
11¢−3¢$1.1K1/11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15−3¢11¢
$1.1K1/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$512+34 new NO$1.2K
$83 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $76 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $21·NO $50YES Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+48.0%)
Whales
6
G
ghorrock🥇hedged
Entry 23¢·27.3 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 58.9%
P
polyweatheryuan🥈
Entry 26¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 55.8%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 9¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $4 · WR 76.4%
J
jbutler23
Entry 39¢·8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 77.0%
H
Hi-sir
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 81.3%
E
Elena-2026
Entry 40¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$64
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+21.0%)
Whales
9
R
runningman-848🥇
Entry 63¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $31 · WR 56.2%
S
Shiny-Theater🥈
Entry 64¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 66.8%
M
MainTrader🥉
Entry 63¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 66.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 84.8%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 62¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 63.0%
D
Digi-Dog
Entry 50¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 76.4%
T
Tough-Fillet
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 61.7%
Z
zua
Entry 50¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 85.1%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 73¢·3.7 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 58.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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