YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$200.7K
900 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 182 traders · 7 on both sides
Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka
12 MARKETS · $200.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs26 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 23 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+102 new YES$9.5K+115 new NO$191.6K
$4.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 35 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales28 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$908 of $87.4K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $74·NO $86.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$586
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$375(-64.0%)
Whales
12
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥇hedged
Entry 5¢·3,642.8 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$196
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $196 · WR 60.5%
F
Flaznorp🥈hedged
Entry 5¢·3,775.5 shares·also $71.2K on NO
Invested
$193
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $193 · WR 55.6%
D
dafguj🥉
Entry 21¢·339.5 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $71 · WR 61.4%
P
Puzzled-Motherinlawhedged
Entry 97¢·53.5 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 67.2%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 4¢·498.5 shares·also $359 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $21 · WR 61.3%
T
thestingsnakehedged
Entry 6¢·286.6 shares·also $644 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $18 · WR 62.3%
K
KnightDasCapitalhedged
Entry 21¢·77.1 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $16 · WR 55.2%
A
Alienated-Wordinghedged
Entry 11¢·90.9 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 55.1%
M
Mushy-Jumper
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 80.1%
S
SpliffGang
Entry 6¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$86.9K
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+1.4%)
Whales
26
F
Flaznorp🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·73,294.6 shares·also $193 on YES
Invested
$71.2K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$379
+$379INV $71.2K · WR 55.6%
M
MurkSniper🥈
Entry 98¢·5,095.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $5.0K · WR 71.7%
G
ghostorder🥉
Entry 91¢·4,243.2 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $3.9K · WR 56.3%
I
Irresponsible-Autumnhedged
Entry 94¢·1,594.6 shares·also $196 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $1.5K · WR 60.5%
S
Sn8383
Entry 100¢·1,329.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $1.3K · WR 71.4%
K
KnightDasCapitalhedged
Entry 78¢·1,659 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$326
+$326INV $1.3K · WR 55.2%
T
thestingsnakehedged
Entry 95¢·676.6 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$644
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $644 · WR 62.3%
Q
qrup
Entry 90¢·583 shares
Invested
$525
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $525 · WR 64.0%
E
enemigo
Entry 94¢·530.6 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $500 · WR 90.4%
N
NM-UAThedged
Entry 95¢·375.7 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$359
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $359 · WR 61.3%
Showing top 10 of 26
Smart Whale Trades
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