YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$2.3K
204 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 70 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
11 MARKETS · $10.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on September 13
0¢+25¢$1531/3Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on September 13+25¢0¢
$1531/3
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 13
0¢+25¢$931/3Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 13+25¢0¢
$931/3
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 13
10¢—$7980/0Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 13—10¢
$7980/0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 13
11¢+6¢$3.1K1/5Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 13+6¢11¢
$3.1K1/5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 13
45¢−1¢$2.0K4/5Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 13−1¢45¢
$2.0K4/5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 13←
40¢−29¢$2.3K1/8Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 13←−29¢40¢
$2.3K1/8
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 13
2¢+11¢$1.4K1/7Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 13+11¢2¢
$1.4K1/7
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 13
0¢—$1050/0Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 13—0¢
$1050/0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 13
0¢—$1930/0Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 13—0¢
$1930/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$603+48 new NO$1.3K
$296 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $406 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $112·NO $294YES Team
Total Invested
$159
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-6.7%)
Whales
7
W
windy-weather🥇
Entry 25¢·325.1 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $83 · WR 55.1%
H
hlwp229🥈hedged
Entry 211¢·22 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$46
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $46 · WR 91.5%
P
pogodynka🥉
Entry 48¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 55.2%
P
Political-Gown-Sunset
Entry 39¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 70.4%
B
big-bird1
Entry 27¢·15.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.4%
8
0x883a81ef...
Entry 28¢·11.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 60.4%
L
Luceryshedged
Entry 9¢·1.4 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$500
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-8.6%)
Whales
19
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 70¢·188.8 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $132 · WR 60.8%
Y
yebaka🥈
Entry 73¢·124.7 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $91 · WR 56.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 53¢·90 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $47 · WR 85.7%
H
hlwp229hedged
Entry 207¢·22 shares·also $46 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $45 · WR 91.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 75¢·52.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $39 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 75¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $30 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 75¢·35 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $26 · WR 79.5%
W
wert4
Entry 72¢·27 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 67.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 89.5%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $17 · WR 55.4%
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