Politics11 days left
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$5.6K
367 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 92 traders
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $12.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$42+6 new NO$258
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $192 is directional: YES $183·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$566
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$377(-66.6%)
Whales
4
A
aszdxfcgvhgkjhlkjawtseyrdfjkmnybtrv🥇hedged
Entry 59¢·631.6 shares·also $226 on NO
Invested
$371
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-273
$-273INV $371 · WR 78.7%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 28¢·645.6 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $181 · WR 74.9%
A
Antony82🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $11 · WR 62.6%
M
mjh1979
Entry 43¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 83.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$344
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$317(+92.0%)
Whales
12
A
aszdxfcgvhgkjhlkjawtseyrdfjkmnybtrv🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·552.8 shares·also $371 on YES
Invested
$226
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$241
+$241INV $226 · WR 78.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 53¢·60 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $31 · WR 88.1%
H
hitunfar🥉
Entry 53¢·47.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $25 · WR 59.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 53¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $14 · WR 86.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 66.6%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 85.9%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 78.0%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 38¢·20 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $8 · WR 62.6%
K
korda77
Entry 43¢·15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 85.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 84.4%
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