YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$370
64 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 34 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
11 MARKETS · $4.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on September 12
0¢—$1890/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on September 12—0¢
$1890/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 12
0¢—$1530/0Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 12—0¢
$1530/0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 12
0¢0¢$1.3K0/1Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 120¢0¢
$1.3K0/1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 12
1¢−1¢$3020/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 12−1¢1¢
$3020/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 12
2¢−2¢$2170/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 12−2¢2¢
$2170/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12
8¢−8¢$3580/8Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12−8¢8¢
$3580/8
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12←
38¢−5¢$3702/4Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12←−5¢38¢
$3702/4
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 12
44¢−11¢$5331/2Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 12−11¢44¢
$5331/2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 12
13¢−13¢$5510/4Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 12−13¢13¢
$5510/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$145+23 new NO$262
$86 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $49 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-8.7%)
Whales
5
G
ghorrock🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·15.2 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 58.7%
S
Sitiropikoh🥈
Entry 59¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.4%
E
Elena-2026🥉
Entry 42¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.7%
E
esp22
Entry 40¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.0%
M
Musty-Generation
Entry 34¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 59.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+8.0%)
Whales
7
G
ghorrock🥇hedged
Entry 59¢·42.8 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 58.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 61¢·23 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 85.6%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.5%
M
MainTrader
Entry 63¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 66.0%
C
curie
Entry 59¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 56.5%
I
Insignificant-Chapter
Entry 63¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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