YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$2.1K
143 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 61 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
11 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 12
9¢−9¢$2070/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 12−9¢9¢
$2070/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 12
9¢—$1320/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 12—9¢
$1320/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 12
10¢—$8550/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 12—10¢
$8550/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12
21¢−1¢$1.3K1/4Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12−1¢21¢
$1.3K1/4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12
30¢+20¢$7661/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12+20¢30¢
$7661/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12←
37¢+13¢$2.1K1/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12←+13¢37¢
$2.1K1/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12
8¢−8¢$1.3K0/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12−8¢8¢
$1.3K0/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12
0¢—$820/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12—0¢
$820/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12
0¢—$1570/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12—0¢
$1570/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$480+39 new NO$1.9K
$132 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $389 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $39·NO $324YES Team
Total Invested
$52
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+159.2%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 9¢·200 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $18 · WR 71.9%
M
metwrong🥈
Entry 19¢·90 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $17 · WR 59.5%
C
curie🥉hedged
Entry 22¢·59 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $13 · WR 56.5%
F
fnv3wnc
Entry 23¢·8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.7%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 36¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 55.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 9¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$416
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$68(-16.3%)
Whales
11
A
Another-Proposition🥇
Entry 82¢·250 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $206 · WR 74.6%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥈
Entry 82¢·81 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $66 · WR 58.3%
C
curie🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·64.3 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $53 · WR 56.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $27 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 79.5%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 80¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 80.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 89.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 85.0%
T
tribunal
Entry 78¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 77.4%
V
VantagePoint-YT
Entry 83¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 82.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
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