YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$810
87 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 48 traders
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
11 MARKETS · $3.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on September 12
0¢+33¢$831/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on September 12+33¢0¢
$831/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 12
0¢+33¢$631/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 12+33¢0¢
$631/2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 12
3¢−3¢$1680/4Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 12−3¢3¢
$1680/4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 12
13¢−6¢$1.0K1/13Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 12−6¢13¢
$1.0K1/13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 12←
50¢0¢$8105/5Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 12←0¢50¢
$8105/5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12
27¢−27¢$1.1K0/5Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12−27¢27¢
$1.1K0/5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12
1¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12—1¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12
0¢—$00/0Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12—0¢
$00/0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12
0¢+33¢$631/2Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12+33¢0¢
$631/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$307+24 new NO$347
$182 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $62 is directional: YES $62·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-11.2%)
Whales
5
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 48¢·72.8 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 60.8%
H
hlwp229🥈hedged
Entry 111¢·19 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $21 · WR 91.5%
Y
yebaka🥉
Entry 49¢·34.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 56.7%
R
runningman-848
Entry 49¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 56.4%
C
ceasal
Entry 48¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 75.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-2.9%)
Whales
8
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 71.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·56 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 51¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 88.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 47¢·36.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 87.5%
H
hlwp229hedged
Entry 89¢·19 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $17 · WR 91.5%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 49¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 47¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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