Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$8.7K
280 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 90 traders
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
6 MARKETS · $21.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary
0¢+8¢$3.5K1/12Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary+8¢0¢
$3.5K1/12
Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary
99¢−58¢$5.9K7/10Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary−58¢99¢
$5.9K7/10
Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary
0¢+20¢$6151/4Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary+20¢0¢
$6151/4
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary←
0¢+20¢$8.7K3/12Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary←+20¢0¢
$8.7K3/12
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$124+18 new NO$2.0K
$113 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $24·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-88.2%)
Whales
6
J
Jydyjyd🥇
Entry 15¢·157.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 60.4%
S
solder🥈
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 72.8%
M
Montecarlaw🥉
Entry 10¢·53.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 64.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 28¢·12 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 69.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 0¢·160 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 79.6%
J
JusduA
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 68.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+43.2%)
Whales
14
U
Utoya🥇
Entry 80¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$280
+$280INV $1.2K · WR 90.5%
D
DontTrustMe🥈
Entry 81¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$814
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $814 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 55¢·756.8 shares
Invested
$414
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$340
+$340INV $414 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·362 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $181 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·268.4 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $134 · WR 79.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·262 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $131 · WR 83.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·119 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $91 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $28 · WR 88.2%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 81¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 59.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $19 · WR 86.0%
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