Geopolitics14 days left

Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?

YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$15.2K
233 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 69 traders

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs2 NO
80%20%
80% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$950+14 new NO$1.0K
$247 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $472 is directional: YES $407·NO $66

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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